Paris FC vs Le Mans: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Matchday 13Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
The Footlab AI model makes Paris FC the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Le Mans. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,620 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paris FC vs Le Mans?
Paris FC starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (2,130 vs 1,980).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paris FC vs Le Mans
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paris FC
4-2-3-1- 9L. Sinayoko
- 33P. Lees-Melou
- 10I. Kebbal
- 7P. Pagis
- 20M. Lopez
- 27M. Simon
- 42D. Coppola
- 14H. Traoré
- 6Otávio
- 31S. Chergui
- 1K. Trapp
Le Mans
3-1-4-2- 14L. Mafouta
- 25D. Guèye
- 29L. Bretelle
- 18L. Buadés
- 22L. Calodat
- 10J. Vercruysse
- 23D. Traoré
- 17S. Yohou
- 5H. Voyer
- 26R. Bamba
- 98N. Kocik
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 06:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paris FC have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Le Mans have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lens(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 4-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lorient(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Estac Troyes(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Toulouse(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Paris FC win, 0 draws, 1 Le Mans win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2020 | Le Mans 1-3 Paris FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Paris FC 0-3 Le Mans | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Paris FC score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Le Mans score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Le Mans | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paris FC sit 3rd in Ligue 1 (20 points from 10 matches) and Le Mans sit 15th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 20 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Paris FC vs Le Mans?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paris FC vs Le Mans?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paris FC the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Le Mans.
- Where and when is Paris FC vs Le Mans played?
- Paris FC vs Le Mans is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jean Bouin, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.