Le Pays du Valois vs Creteil: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 11Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal Olivier Lovighi, Le Plessis-Belleville
The Footlab model makes Creteil the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Le Pays du Valois. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Le Pays du Valois vs Creteil?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Le Pays du Valois (1,671) and Creteil (1,769).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Le Pays du Valois have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Creteil have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Racing Colombes 92(home) | 2-4 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 16, 2026 | Reims II(home) | 3-2 | National 3 - Group E |
| May 9, 2026 | Amiens SC II(away) | 5-0 | National 3 - Group E |
| Apr 25, 2026 | OCPAM(home) | 0-1 | National 3 - Group E |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Balagne(away) | 1-3 | National 3 - Group E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Colmar(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Angers(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Rumilly Vallières(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Limonest(home) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 1, 2026 | Istres(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Le Pays du Valois score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Creteil score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Pays du Valois | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Creteil | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Le Pays du Valois sit 16th in National 2 - Group A (0 points from 1 matches) and Creteil sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Creteil | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Le Pays du Valois | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Le Pays du Valois vs Creteil?
- The Footlab model makes Creteil the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Le Pays du Valois.
- Where and when is Le Pays du Valois vs Creteil played?
- Le Pays du Valois vs Creteil is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal Olivier Lovighi, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.