Le Pays du Valois vs Montlouis: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal Olivier Lovighi, Le Plessis-Belleville
The Footlab model makes Le Pays du Valois the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Montlouis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Le Pays du Valois vs Montlouis?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Le Pays du Valois (1,675) and Montlouis (1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Le Pays du Valois have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Montlouis have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Racing Colombes 92(home) | 2-4 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 16, 2026 | Reims II(home) | 3-2 | National 3 - Group E |
| May 9, 2026 | Amiens SC II(away) | 5-0 | National 3 - Group E |
| Apr 25, 2026 | OCPAM(home) | 0-1 | National 3 - Group E |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Balagne(away) | 1-3 | National 3 - Group E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chantilly(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 16, 2026 | Saint-Malo(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Saumur(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Châteaubriant(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bordeaux(away) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Le Pays du Valois score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Montlouis score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Pays du Valois | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Montlouis | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Le Pays du Valois sit 16th in National 2 - Group A (0 points from 1 matches) and Montlouis sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Montlouis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Le Pays du Valois | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Le Pays du Valois vs Montlouis?
- The Footlab model makes Le Pays du Valois the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Montlouis.
- Where and when is Le Pays du Valois vs Montlouis played?
- Le Pays du Valois vs Montlouis is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal Olivier Lovighi, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.