Bastia-Borgo vs Colmar: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Paul-Antoniotti, Borgo
The Footlab AI model makes Bastia-Borgo the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Colmar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bastia-Borgo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bastia-Borgo vs Colmar?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Bastia-Borgo (1,720) and Colmar (1,735).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bastia-Borgo vs Colmar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bastia-Borgo
Not enough data to predict the Bastia-Borgo lineup.
Colmar
Not enough data to predict the Colmar lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bastia-Borgo have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Colmar have 1, 10 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | St Maur Lusitanos(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Haguenau(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Racing Colombes 92(home) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Chambly Thelle FC(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Le Pays du Valois(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Racing Colombes 92(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chambly Thelle FC(away) | 0-4 | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Le Pays du Valois(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 5, 2026 | St-Pryvé St-Hilaire(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Biesheim(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bastia-Borgo wins, 1 draw, 1 Colmar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Colmar 1-1 Bastia-Borgo | National 2 - Group B |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Bastia-Borgo 0-1 Colmar | National 2 - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Colmar vs Bastia-Borgo on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bastia-Borgo score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Colmar score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastia-Borgo | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Colmar | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bastia-Borgo sit 13th in National 2 - Group A (5 points from 6 matches) and Colmar sit 14th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bastia-Borgo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| 14 | Colmar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Bastia-Borgo vs Colmar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bastia-Borgo vs Colmar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bastia-Borgo the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Colmar.
- Where and when is Bastia-Borgo vs Colmar played?
- Bastia-Borgo vs Colmar is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Paul-Antoniotti, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.