Le Poiré sur Vie vs Saumur: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 4Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade de l'Idonnière, Le Poiré-sur-Vie
The Footlab model makes Le Poiré sur Vie the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Saumur. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Le Poiré sur Vie vs Saumur?
Le Poiré sur Vie starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,732 vs 1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Le Poiré sur Vie have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Saumur have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stade Briochin(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Châteauroux II(home) | 2-0 | National 3 - Group B |
| May 9, 2026 | Nantes II(away) | 0-2 | National 3 - Group B |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Angers SCO II(home) | 2-0 | National 3 - Group B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Vendée Fontenay(away) | 4-0 | National 3 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tarbes(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bayonne(away) | 2-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Montlouis(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(away) | 0-6 | National 2 - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Le Poiré sur Vie win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Saumur win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2024 | Saumur 3-1 Le Poiré sur Vie | National 2 - Group B |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Le Poiré sur Vie 0-2 Saumur | National 3 - Group B |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Saumur 1-1 Le Poiré sur Vie | National 3 - Group B |
| Dec 4, 2016 | Saumur 0-2 Le Poiré sur Vie | Coupe de France |
Last archived meeting: Saumur vs Le Poiré sur Vie on Aug 31, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Le Poiré sur Vie score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Saumur score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Poiré sur Vie | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Saumur | 0.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Le Poiré sur Vie sit 12th in National 2 - Group B (0 points from 1 matches) and Saumur sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Saumur | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Le Poiré sur Vie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Le Poiré sur Vie vs Saumur?
- The Footlab model makes Le Poiré sur Vie the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Saumur.
- Where and when is Le Poiré sur Vie vs Saumur played?
- Le Poiré sur Vie vs Saumur is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de l'Idonnière, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.