Avranches vs Dinan Léhon: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 4Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade René Fenouillère, Avranches
The Footlab model makes Avranches the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Dinan Léhon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avranches vs Dinan Léhon?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Avranches (1,749) and Dinan Léhon (1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avranches have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Dinan Léhon have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Laval(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bordeaux(home) | 3-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Granville(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 3-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Angoulême(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Saint-Malo(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Saumur(home) | 6-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Avranches win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Dinan Léhon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Avranches 0-1 Dinan Léhon | National 2 - Group A |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Dinan Léhon 3-2 Avranches | National 2 - Group A |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Avranches 2-3 Dinan Léhon | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Dinan Léhon 1-1 Avranches | National 2 - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Avranches vs Dinan Léhon on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Avranches score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Dinan Léhon score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avranches | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Dinan Léhon | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avranches sit 1st in National 2 - Group B (3 points from 1 matches) and Dinan Léhon sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avranches | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Dinan Léhon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avranches vs Dinan Léhon?
- The Footlab model makes Avranches the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Dinan Léhon.
- Where and when is Avranches vs Dinan Léhon played?
- Avranches vs Dinan Léhon is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade René Fenouillère, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.