Leamington vs Bury Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Your Co-op Community Stadium, Royal Leamington Spa, Warwickshire
The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Leamington. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leamington vs Bury Town?
Bury Town starts as the favourite with a 231-point Elo edge (1,881 vs 1,650).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leamington have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Bury Town have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stamford(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AFC Sudbury(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Leamington win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bury Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury Town 3-0 Leamington | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Bury Town vs Leamington on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leamington score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bury Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leamington | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Bury Town | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leamington sit 17th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 2 matches) and Bury Town sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bury Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 17 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leamington vs Bury Town?
- The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Leamington.
- Where and when is Leamington vs Bury Town played?
- Leamington vs Bury Town is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Your Co-op Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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