Match

Leiston vs Stourbridge: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk

LeistonStourbridge

The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Stourbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leiston vs Stourbridge?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Leiston (1,823) and Stourbridge (1,788).

Leiston win47 %
Draw24 %
Stourbridge win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Stourbridge have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leiston
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stourbridge(away)2-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Rushall Olympic(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Bishop's Stortford(home)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Anstey Nomads(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 28, 2026Gorleston(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Stourbridge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leiston(home)2-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Peterborough Sports(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Stamford(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Kidderminster Harriers(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Halesowen Town(away)3-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Leiston win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Stourbridge win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stourbridge 2-2 LeistonNon League Premier - Southern Central
Jan 17, 2026Leiston 0-0 StourbridgeNon League Premier - Southern Central
Oct 11, 2025Stourbridge 1-1 LeistonNon League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 12, 2025Stourbridge 2-0 LeistonNon League Premier - Southern Central
Dec 14, 2024Leiston 0-3 StourbridgeNon League Premier - Southern Central
Mar 9, 2024Leiston 0-1 StourbridgeNon League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Stourbridge vs Leiston on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leiston1.41.4311/158/15
Stourbridge1.71.648/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leiston sit 8th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Stourbridge sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Stourbridge2200416
8Leiston3111544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Stourbridge?
The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Stourbridge.
Where and when is Leiston vs Stourbridge played?
Leiston vs Stourbridge is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Leiston and Stourbridge

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