Leiston vs Stourbridge: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk
The Footlab AI model makes Leiston the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Stourbridge. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leiston wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,546 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leiston vs Stourbridge?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Leiston (1,838) and Stourbridge (1,801).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leiston vs Stourbridge
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leiston
Not enough data to predict the Leiston lineup.
Stourbridge
Not enough data to predict the Stourbridge lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Stourbridge have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Coventry United(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 0-3 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leighton Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(away) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Leiston wins, 3 draws, 3 Stourbridge wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge 2-2 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Leiston 0-0 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Stourbridge 1-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Stourbridge 2-0 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Leiston 0-3 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Leiston 0-1 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Stourbridge vs Leiston on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leiston score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stourbridge score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Stourbridge | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leiston sit 13th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (12 points from 10 matches) and Stourbridge sit 12th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Stourbridge | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 13 |
| 13 | Leiston | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 12 |
A question about Leiston vs Stourbridge?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Stourbridge?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leiston the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Stourbridge.
- Where and when is Leiston vs Stourbridge played?
- Leiston vs Stourbridge is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Hitchin TownvsRacing Club Warwick
- Mar 20, 2027StamfordvsWorcester City
- Mar 20, 2027Halesowen TownvsNeedham Market
- Mar 20, 2027AlvechurchvsBishop's Stortford
- Mar 20, 2027Banbury UnitedvsRushall Olympic
- Mar 20, 2027Bromsgrove SportingvsRedditch United
- Mar 20, 2027Peterborough SportsvsKettering Town
- Mar 20, 2027Stratford TownvsReal Bedford