Leiston vs Stourbridge: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Stourbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leiston vs Stourbridge?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Leiston (1,823) and Stourbridge (1,788).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Stourbridge have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leiston(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Halesowen Town(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Leiston win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Stourbridge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge 2-2 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Leiston 0-0 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Stourbridge 1-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Stourbridge 2-0 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Leiston 0-3 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Leiston 0-1 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Stourbridge vs Leiston on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Stourbridge | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leiston sit 8th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Stourbridge sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Stourbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Stourbridge?
- The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Stourbridge.
- Where and when is Leiston vs Stourbridge played?
- Leiston vs Stourbridge is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Hitchin TownvsRacing Club Warwick
- Mar 20, 2027StamfordvsWorcester City
- Mar 20, 2027Halesowen TownvsNeedham Market
- Mar 20, 2027AlvechurchvsBishop's Stortford
- Mar 20, 2027Banbury UnitedvsRushall Olympic
- Mar 20, 2027Bromsgrove SportingvsRedditch United
- Mar 20, 2027Peterborough SportsvsKettering Town
- Mar 20, 2027Stratford TownvsReal Bedford