Lecco vs Giana Erminio: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 4Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco
The Footlab model makes Lecco the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Giana Erminio. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lecco vs Giana Erminio?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Lecco (1,791) and Giana Erminio (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lecco have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Giana Erminio have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 0-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2026 | Catania(away) | 3-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Albinoleffe(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Trento(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lecco win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Giana Erminio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Lecco 2-1 Giana Erminio | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Giana Erminio 0-1 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Lecco 0-0 Giana Erminio | Serie C - Girone A |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Lecco 1-0 Giana Erminio | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Giana Erminio 1-0 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 23, 2022 | Lecco 1-0 Giana Erminio | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Lecco vs Giana Erminio on May 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lecco score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Giana Erminio score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecco | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Giana Erminio | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lecco sit 10th in Serie C - Girone A (1 points from 1 matches) and Giana Erminio sit 13th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lecco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Giana Erminio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lecco vs Giana Erminio?
- The Footlab model makes Lecco the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Giana Erminio.
- Where and when is Lecco vs Giana Erminio played?
- Lecco vs Giana Erminio is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.