Lechia Zielona Góra vs Stal Stalowa Wola: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Zielona Góra
The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Stal Stalowa Wola. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lechia Zielona Góra vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Lechia Zielona Góra (1,899) and Stal Stalowa Wola (1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia Zielona Góra have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Stal Stalowa Wola have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz(away) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 6-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 2-2 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 4-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 1-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tychy 71(home) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Lechia Zielona Góra score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Stalowa Wola score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia Zielona Góra | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Stal Stalowa Wola | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lechia Zielona Góra sit 11th in II Liga - East (6 points from 5 matches) and Stal Stalowa Wola sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lechia Zielona Góra vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
- The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Stal Stalowa Wola.
- Where and when is Lechia Zielona Góra vs Stal Stalowa Wola played?
- Lechia Zielona Góra vs Stal Stalowa Wola is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Olimpia GrudziądzvsLegia Warszawa II
- Nov 7, 2026Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Nov 7, 2026Resovia RzeszówvsGórnik Łęczna
- Nov 7, 2026Znicz PruszkówvsPodhale Nowy Targ
- Nov 7, 2026Świt SkolwinvsŚląsk Wrocław II
- Nov 7, 2026Zawisza BydgoszczvsTychy 71
- Nov 7, 2026Sokół KleczewvsSandecja Nowy Sącz
- Nov 7, 2026Avia ŚwidnikvsHutnik Kraków