Match

Lechia Zielona Góra vs Stal Stalowa Wola: prediction and stats

II Liga - EastRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Zielona Góra

Lechia Zielona GóraStal Stalowa Wola

The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Stal Stalowa Wola. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lechia Zielona Góra vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Lechia Zielona Góra (1,899) and Stal Stalowa Wola (1,819).

Lechia Zielona Góra win51 %
Draw24 %
Stal Stalowa Wola win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia Zielona Góra have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Stal Stalowa Wola have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lechia Zielona Góra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Hutnik Kraków(home)1-1II Liga - East
Aug 16, 2026Zawisza Bydgoszcz(away)1-2II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026Sokół Kleczew(home)6-1II Liga - East
Aug 1, 2026Olimpia Grudziądz(home)2-2II Liga - East
Jul 25, 2026Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home)1-1II Liga - East
Stal Stalowa Wola
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Chojniczanka Chojnice(away)0-2II Liga - East
Aug 16, 2026Avia Świdnik(home)4-0II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away)1-3II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Śląsk Wrocław II(away)2-3Cup
Jul 31, 2026Tychy 71(home)1-2II Liga - East

How many goals should we expect?

Lechia Zielona Góra score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Stalowa Wola score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lechia Zielona Góra2.11.3311/1510/15
Stal Stalowa Wola1.61.267/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lechia Zielona Góra sit 11th in II Liga - East (6 points from 5 matches) and Stal Stalowa Wola sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Lechia Zielona Góra51311176
12Stal Stalowa Wola5203876

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lechia Zielona Góra vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Stal Stalowa Wola.
Where and when is Lechia Zielona Góra vs Stal Stalowa Wola played?
Lechia Zielona Góra vs Stal Stalowa Wola is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the II Liga - East.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Lechia Zielona Góra and Stal Stalowa Wola

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