Znicz Pruszków vs Podhale Nowy Targ: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Znicza (MZOS), Pruszków
The Footlab model makes Podhale Nowy Targ the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Znicz Pruszków. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Znicz Pruszków vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Znicz Pruszków (1,786) and Podhale Nowy Targ (1,853).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Znicz Pruszków have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Podhale Nowy Targ have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(away) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Legia Warszawa II(home) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(away) | 0-0 | II Liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Znicz Pruszków score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Znicz Pruszków | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Podhale Nowy Targ | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Znicz Pruszków sit 3rd in II Liga - East (10 points from 5 matches) and Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Znicz Pruszków | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 15 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Znicz Pruszków vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
- The Footlab model makes Podhale Nowy Targ the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Znicz Pruszków.
- Where and when is Znicz Pruszków vs Podhale Nowy Targ played?
- Znicz Pruszków vs Podhale Nowy Targ is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Znicza (MZOS), in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Olimpia GrudziądzvsLegia Warszawa II
- Nov 7, 2026Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Nov 7, 2026Resovia RzeszówvsGórnik Łęczna
- Nov 7, 2026Świt SkolwinvsŚląsk Wrocław II
- Nov 7, 2026Zawisza BydgoszczvsTychy 71
- Nov 7, 2026Lechia Zielona GóravsStal Stalowa Wola
- Nov 7, 2026Sokół KleczewvsSandecja Nowy Sącz
- Nov 7, 2026Avia ŚwidnikvsHutnik Kraków