Leeds United U21 vs Burnley U21: prediction and stats
Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on February 22, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)LNER Community Stadium, York, North Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Leeds United U21 the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Burnley U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leeds United U21 vs Burnley U21?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Leeds United U21 (1,727) and Burnley U21 (1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leeds United U21 have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Burnley U21 have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | West Bromwich Albion U21(home) | 4-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Boreham Wood(away) | 2-5 | National League Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stoke City U21(away) | 0-0 | Premier League Cup |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Leicester City U21(home) | 2-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Manchester United U21(home) | 1-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fulham U21(away) | 3-4 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wolves U21(away) | 0-2 | Premier League Cup |
| May 14, 2026 | Sunderland U21(away) | 2-1 | Premier League Cup |
| Apr 13, 2026 | West Bromwich Albion U21(home) | 2-1 | Premier League Cup |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Blackburn Rovers U21(home) | 0-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Leeds United U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Burnley U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2025 | Burnley U21 1-2 Leeds United U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
Last archived meeting: Burnley U21 vs Leeds United U21 on Aug 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Leeds United U21 score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Burnley U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United U21 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Burnley U21 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leeds United U21 sit 7th in Premier League 2 Division One (3 points from 1 matches) and Burnley U21 sit 22nd (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leeds United U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 22 | Burnley U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leeds United U21 vs Burnley U21?
- The Footlab model makes Leeds United U21 the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Burnley U21.
- Where and when is Leeds United U21 vs Burnley U21 played?
- Leeds United U21 vs Burnley U21 is played on February 22, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at LNER Community Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 21, 2026Aston Villa U212-1Brighton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Fulham U214-3Burnley U21
- Aug 21, 2026Everton U211-1Liverpool U21
- Aug 21, 2026West Ham United U210-0Southampton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Stoke City U212-3Brentford U21
- Aug 21, 2026AFC Bournemouth U212-1Chelsea U21
- Aug 21, 2026Leicester City U21vsBlackburn Rovers U21
- Aug 22, 2026Arsenal U211-1Crystal Palace U21