Leeds vs Millwall: result 3-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 28, 2020 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire
Full time
What was the result of Leeds vs Millwall?
Leeds won 3-2 on January 28, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 4′S. HutchinsonMillwall
- 23′J. WallaceMillwall (pen.)
- 48′P. BamfordLeeds
- 62′Pablo HernándezLeeds
- 66′P. BamfordLeeds
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leeds have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Millwall have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2020 | QPR(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jan 11, 2020 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Jan 6, 2020 | Arsenal(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2020 | West Brom(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2019 | Birmingham(away) | 5-4 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2020 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 18, 2020 | Reading(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Jan 11, 2020 | Stoke City(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Jan 4, 2020 | Newport County(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2020 | Luton(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Leeds win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Millwall win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2019 | Millwall 2-1 Leeds | Championship |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Leeds 3-2 Millwall | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Millwall 1-1 Leeds | Championship |
| Jan 20, 2018 | Leeds 3-4 Millwall | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2017 | Millwall 1-0 Leeds | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2015 | Leeds 1-0 Millwall | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Leeds score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Millwall score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Millwall | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy