Leganes vs Real Sociedad II: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 42Kick-off on June 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés
The Footlab model makes Leganes the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Real Sociedad II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leganes vs Real Sociedad II?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Leganes (1,931) and Real Sociedad II (1,889).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganes have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Real Sociedad II have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Girona(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mérida AD(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Leganes win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Real Sociedad II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Leganes 2-0 Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Real Sociedad II 2-1 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Jan 8, 2022 | Leganes 1-1 Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Real Sociedad II 1-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Leganes vs Real Sociedad II on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leganes score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Sociedad II score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Sociedad II | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leganes sit 5th in Segunda División (4 points from 2 matches) and Real Sociedad II sit 13th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Leganes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leganes vs Real Sociedad II?
- The Footlab model makes Leganes the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Real Sociedad II.
- Where and when is Leganes vs Real Sociedad II played?
- Leganes vs Real Sociedad II is played on June 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.