Valladolid vs Las Palmas: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 42Kick-off on June 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, Valladolid
The Footlab AI model makes Valladolid the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Las Palmas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Valladolid wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,831 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valladolid vs Las Palmas?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Valladolid (1,909) and Las Palmas (1,999).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Valladolid vs Las Palmas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Valladolid
4-1-3-2- 19Adrian Arnuncio
- 9Juanmi Latasa
- 21J. Ponceau
- 24S. Jurić
- 8T. Ojeda
- 30Víctor Fernández
- 4David Torres
- 27Iván Garriel
- 15Pablo Tomeo
- 14Iván Alejo
- 1Álvaro Aceves
Las Palmas
4-4-2- 10Jesé
- 14Manu Fuster
- 11T. Miyashiro
- 24Iván Jaime
- 12E. Loiodice
- 20Kirian Rodríguez
- 25Valentín Pezzolesi
- 4Álex Suárez
- 15Juan Herzog
- 21G. Bonfanti
- 13José Caro
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 05:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valladolid have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Las Palmas have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Granada CF(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 5-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 3-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Valladolid wins, 2 draws, 4 Las Palmas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Las Palmas 2-2 Valladolid | Segunda División |
| May 3, 2026 | Las Palmas 2-1 Valladolid | Segunda División |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Valladolid 0-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Valladolid 1-1 Las Palmas | La Liga |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Las Palmas 2-1 Valladolid | La Liga |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Valladolid 0-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Las Palmas vs Valladolid on Oct 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valladolid score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Las Palmas | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valladolid sit 15th in Segunda División (12 points from 11 matches) and Las Palmas sit 14th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Las Palmas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 14 |
| 15 | Valladolid | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 12 |
A question about Valladolid vs Las Palmas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valladolid vs Las Palmas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Valladolid the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Las Palmas.
- Where and when is Valladolid vs Las Palmas played?
- Valladolid vs Las Palmas is played on June 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.