Leioa vs Real Sociedad III: result 2-1 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 · Matchday 19Kick-off on January 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sarriena, Leioa
Full time
What was the result of Leioa vs Real Sociedad III?
Leioa won 2-1 on January 24, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 54′611603Real Sociedad III
- 65′582509Leioa
- 85′582508Leioa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leioa have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Real Sociedad III have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Pasaia KE(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Lagun Onak(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Deusto(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Portugalete(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 13, 2025 | San Ignacio(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Eibar III(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Añorga(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Durango(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Zamudio(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Leioa win, 0 draws, 0 Real Sociedad III wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2025 | Real Sociedad III 0-1 Leioa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad III vs Leioa on Sep 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Leioa score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real Sociedad III score 1.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leioa | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Sociedad III | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leioa sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (22 points from 10 matches) and Real Sociedad III sit 3rd (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leioa | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Real Sociedad III | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 18 |
A question about Leioa vs Real Sociedad III?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy