Match

Leiston vs Needham Market: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk

LeistonNeedham Market

The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Needham Market. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leiston vs Needham Market?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Leiston (1,823) and Needham Market (1,800).

Leiston win42 %
Draw26 %
Needham Market win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Needham Market have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leiston
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stourbridge(away)2-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Rushall Olympic(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Bishop's Stortford(home)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Anstey Nomads(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 28, 2026Gorleston(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Needham Market
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Halesowen Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Alvechurch(away)0-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Hitchin Town(away)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Bromsgrove Sporting(home)1-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 25, 2026Banbury United(home)0-2Non League Premier - Southern Central

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Leiston win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Needham Market win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 27, 2025Leiston 0-1 Needham MarketNon League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 25, 2025Needham Market 1-2 LeistonNon League Premier - Southern Central
Feb 13, 2024Needham Market 5-0 LeistonNon League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 28, 2023Leiston 0-0 Needham MarketNon League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 10, 2023Needham Market 0-1 LeistonNon League Premier - Southern Central
Dec 26, 2022Leiston 2-1 Needham MarketNon League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Needham Market on Dec 27, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Needham Market score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leiston1.41.4311/158/15
Needham Market1.41.338/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leiston sit 8th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Needham Market sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Leiston3111544
14Needham Market3102463

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Needham Market?
The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Needham Market.
Where and when is Leiston vs Needham Market played?
Leiston vs Needham Market is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Leiston and Needham Market

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