Leiston vs Needham Market: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Needham Market. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leiston vs Needham Market?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Leiston (1,823) and Needham Market (1,800).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Needham Market have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hitchin Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Banbury United(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Leiston win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Needham Market win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Leiston 0-1 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Needham Market 1-2 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Needham Market 5-0 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Leiston 0-0 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Needham Market 0-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Leiston 2-1 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Needham Market on Dec 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Needham Market score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Needham Market | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leiston sit 8th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Needham Market sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Needham Market | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Needham Market?
- The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Needham Market.
- Where and when is Leiston vs Needham Market played?
- Leiston vs Needham Market is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 29, 2027Hitchin TownvsReal Bedford
- Mar 29, 2027StamfordvsAnstey Nomads
- Mar 29, 2027Halesowen TownvsWorcester City
- Mar 29, 2027AlvechurchvsRedditch United
- Mar 29, 2027Banbury UnitedvsKettering Town
- Mar 29, 2027Bromsgrove SportingvsStourbridge
- Mar 29, 2027Peterborough SportsvsBury Town
- Mar 29, 2027Stratford TownvsRushall Olympic