Redditch United vs Leiston: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Valley Stadium, Redditch, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Redditch United the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Leiston. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Redditch United vs Leiston?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Redditch United (1,833) and Leiston (1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Redditch United have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Leiston have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hitchin Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leighton Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Coventry United(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Redditch United win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Leiston win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Redditch United 4-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Leiston 2-0 Redditch United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Leiston 1-0 Redditch United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Redditch United 1-2 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Redditch United 5-0 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Leiston 0-1 Redditch United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Redditch United vs Leiston on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Redditch United score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redditch United | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Redditch United sit 12th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (3 points from 3 matches) and Leiston sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Redditch United | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Redditch United vs Leiston?
- The Footlab model makes Redditch United the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Leiston.
- Where and when is Redditch United vs Leiston played?
- Redditch United vs Leiston is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Valley Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027StourbridgevsBanbury United
- Apr 3, 2027Bury TownvsLeighton Town
- Apr 3, 2027Bishop's StortfordvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Apr 3, 2027Needham MarketvsStratford Town
- Apr 3, 2027Rushall OlympicvsStamford
- Apr 3, 2027Kettering TownvsHitchin Town
- Apr 3, 2027Anstey NomadsvsPeterborough Sports
- Apr 3, 2027Racing Club WarwickvsAlvechurch