Bishop's Stortford vs Leiston: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The RDA Stadium, Bishop's Stortford, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Bishop's Stortford. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bishop's Stortford vs Leiston?
Leiston starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,823 vs 1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bishop's Stortford have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Leiston have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Halesowen Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leiston(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Banbury United(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bishop's Stortford win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Leiston win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leiston 3-1 Bishop's Stortford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Leiston 0-1 Bishop's Stortford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Bishop's Stortford 0-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Bishop's Stortford 1-2 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Leiston 1-1 Bishop's Stortford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Bishop's Stortford 5-1 Leiston | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Bishop's Stortford on Aug 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bishop's Stortford score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop's Stortford | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bishop's Stortford sit 21st in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 3 matches) and Leiston sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 21 | Bishop's Stortford | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bishop's Stortford vs Leiston?
- The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Bishop's Stortford.
- Where and when is Bishop's Stortford vs Leiston played?
- Bishop's Stortford vs Leiston is played on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The RDA Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 26, 2027StourbridgevsHalesowen Town
- Mar 26, 2027Bury TownvsStamford
- Mar 26, 2027Needham MarketvsHitchin Town
- Mar 26, 2027Redditch UnitedvsStratford Town
- Mar 26, 2027Rushall OlympicvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Mar 26, 2027Kettering TownvsLeighton Town
- Mar 26, 2027Anstey NomadsvsLeamington
- Mar 26, 2027Racing Club WarwickvsBanbury United