Leningradets vs Luki-Energiya: prediction and stats
CupRegions Path - Semi-finalsKick-off on October 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Petrovskiy, St. Petersburg
The Footlab AI model makes Leningradets the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Luki-Energiya. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leningradets wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leningradets vs Luki-Energiya?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Leningradets (1,750) and Luki-Energiya (1,728).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leningradets vs Luki-Energiya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leningradets
5-3-2- 23I. Stefanovich
- 9M. Pershin
- 6D. Rodin
- 21A. Makarov
- 78G. Kiselev
- 44N. Kalugin
- 4R. Kudryavtsev
- 37K. Isaev
- 3E. Botaka-Yoboma
- 19A. Maksetsov
- 96A. Kuznetsov
Luki-Energiya
4-2-3-1- 9D. Dibirgadzhiev
- 7I. Shvedyuk
- 80A. Pipo
- 88I. Galanin
- 8V. Kiselev
- 24E. Butakov
- 14V. Andyamov
- 6L. Ushakhin
- 7A. Korenblyum
- 4V. Lunev
- 30D. Saganovich
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leningradets have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Luki-Energiya have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(away) | 0-6 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | FK Sokol Saratov(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 29, 2026 | KAMAZ(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Murom(away) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Ural(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Torpedo Vladimir(away) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Leningradets wins, 0 draws, 1 Luki-Energiya win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2025 | Luki-Energiya 2-0 Leningradets | Cup |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Leningradets 2-0 Luki-Energiya | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 15, 2022 | Luki-Energiya 0-4 Leningradets | Second League - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2021 | Luki-Energiya 0-1 Leningradets | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 4, 2021 | Leningradets 6-0 Luki-Energiya | Second League - Group 2 |
| Apr 1, 2021 | Leningradets 4-0 Luki-Energiya | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Luki-Energiya vs Leningradets on Aug 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Leningradets score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Luki-Energiya score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leningradets | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Luki-Energiya | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Leningradets vs Luki-Energiya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leningradets vs Luki-Energiya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leningradets the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Luki-Energiya.
- Where and when is Leningradets vs Luki-Energiya played?
- Leningradets vs Luki-Energiya is played on October 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Petrovskiy, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.