Lens W vs Montpellier W: prediction and stats
Feminine Division 1Regular Season - 10Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Degouve Brabant, Arras
The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier W the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Lens W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montpellier W wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,488 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lens W vs Montpellier W?
Montpellier W starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,774 vs 1,657).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lens W vs Montpellier W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lens W
3-4-3- 7L. Archier
- 10N. Gelders
- 9Celia Agoune
- 22E. Smaali
- 23F. Rossi
- 19L. Notel
- 28R. Éloissaint
- 21Laureen Oillic
- 29M. Duporge
- 18J. Evrard
- 3J. Limage
Montpellier W
5-4-1- 11J. Rouquet
- 6E. Palis
- 11J. Rouquet
- 4M. Torrent
- 20A. Fontaine
- 12G. Gillard
- 21S. Haering
- 18A. JelenÄiÄ
- 19C. Baylet
- 5A. Tchakounté
- 16S. Durand
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 09:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lens W have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Montpellier W have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | FC Fleury 91 W(home) | 1-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Le Havre W(away) | 0-0 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Strasbourg W(home) | 1-3 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Paris FC W(away) | 1-4 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Toulouse W(home) | 2-2 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Lyon W(home) | 2-5 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain W(away) | 0-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Le Havre W(home) | 1-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Nantes W(away) | 1-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Marseille W(home) | 0-0 | Feminine Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lens W win, 0 draws, 1 Montpellier W win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Lens W 2-1 Montpellier W | Feminine Division 1 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Montpellier W 3-1 Lens W | Feminine Division 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lens W vs Montpellier W on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lens W score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Montpellier W score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens W | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Montpellier W | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lens W sit 11th in Feminine Division 1 (3 points from 7 matches) and Montpellier W sit 8th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Montpellier W | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| 11 | Lens W | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 3 |
A question about Lens W vs Montpellier W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lens W vs Montpellier W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier W the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Lens W.
- Where and when is Lens W vs Montpellier W played?
- Lens W vs Montpellier W is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Degouve Brabant, in the Feminine Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.