Leon vs Toluca: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 13Kick-off on April 5, 2021 at 02:05 AM (UTC)Estadio León (Nou Camp), León de los Aldamas
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What was the result of Leon vs Toluca?
Leon won 2-1 on April 5, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 45′M. EstradaToluca
- 52′S. BarreiroLeon
- 73′Á. MenaLeon
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leon have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Toluca have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2021 | Santos Laguna(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 16, 2021 | Necaxa(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 11, 2021 | Monterrey(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Club America(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 3, 2021 | Puebla(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2021 | Puebla(home) | 4-4 | Liga MX |
| Mar 14, 2021 | CF Pachuca(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Mar 3, 2021 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Atlas(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Leon win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2020 | Toluca 2-2 Leon | Liga MX |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Leon 4-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 17, 2019 | Leon 3-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Toluca 1-2 Leon | Liga MX |
| Jan 14, 2018 | Leon 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 30, 2017 | Toluca 3-1 Leon | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Leon score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Toluca | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leon sit 14th in Liga MX (3 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Leon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 14 | Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy