Toluca vs Leon: result 2-2 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 17Kick-off on November 8, 2020 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Leon?
Toluca and Leon drew 2-2 on November 8, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 31′D. RamírezLeon
- 38′M. EstradaToluca
- 69′A. CaneloToluca (pen.)
- 73′L. MontesLeon
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Leon have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2020 | Necaxa(away) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Club Tijuana(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 18, 2020 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Cruz Azul(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 25, 2020 | CF Pachuca(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2020 | Santos Laguna(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 24, 2020 | Puebla(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 20, 2020 | Club America(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 3, 2020 | Mazatlán(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 28, 2020 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Leon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2019 | Leon 4-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 17, 2019 | Leon 3-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Toluca 1-2 Leon | Liga MX |
| Jan 14, 2018 | Leon 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 30, 2017 | Toluca 3-1 Leon | Liga MX |
| Mar 19, 2017 | Leon 2-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leon score 1.7 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Leon | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Leon sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Leon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 14 | Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy