Leon vs Toluca: result 2-2 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - ReclasificacionKick-off on May 10, 2021 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio León (Nou Camp), León de los Aldamas
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What was the result of Leon vs Toluca?
Leon and Toluca drew 2-2 on May 10, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 17′K. CastañedaToluca
- 45′V. DávilaLeon
- 58′A. CaneloToluca
- 89′F. AmbrízLeon
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leon have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Toluca have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2021 | Club Queretaro(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Mazatlán(away) | 3-4 | Liga MX |
| Apr 20, 2021 | FC Juarez(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Apr 15, 2021 | Toronto FC(away) | 1-2 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Atlas(away) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | FC Juarez(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Club America(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 19, 2021 | Santos Laguna(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Monterrey(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 5, 2021 | Leon(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Leon win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2021 | Leon 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Toluca 2-2 Leon | Liga MX |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Leon 4-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 17, 2019 | Leon 3-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Toluca 1-2 Leon | Liga MX |
| Jan 14, 2018 | Leon 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Leon score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Toluca | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leon sit 14th in Liga MX (3 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Leon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 14 | Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy