Leones Negros UDG vs Tepatitlán: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXClausura - Quarter-finalsKick-off on April 27, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Full time
What was the result of Leones Negros UDG vs Tepatitlán?
Leones Negros UDG won 2-1 on April 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 7′J. MarchandLeones Negros UDG
- 53′L. LoroñaTepatitlán
- 74′D. MuñozLeones Negros UDG
Official lineup for Leones Negros UDG vs Tepatitlán
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Leones Negros UDG
- 8C. Fierro
- 13A. Ocejo
- 6A. Organista
- 10É. Torres
- 26J. Marchand
- 28A. Bravo
- 4A. Ledesma
- 5U. Torres
- 20B. Flores
- 24J. Agüayo
- 30F. López
Tepatitlán
- 9J. Machado
- 14D. Álvarez
- 17L. Loroña
- 24U. Cardona
- 18J. Gómez
- 21M. Mares
- 23J. Venegas
- 33Z. Muñoz
- 6A. Ruiz
- 19Said Ezequiel Castañeda León
- 1R. Díaz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leones Negros UDG have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Tepatitlán have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2025 | Tepatitlán(away) | 1-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Venados FC(home) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Celaya(away) | 3-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 6, 2025 | CDS Tampico Madero(home) | 1-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 29, 2025 | CA La Paz(away) | 1-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2025 | Leones Negros UDG(home) | 2-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Mineros de Zacatecas(away) | 2-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(home) | 4-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 30, 2025 | CDS Tampico Madero(away) | 1-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 22, 2025 | CA La Paz(home) | 4-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Leones Negros UDG wins, 2 draws, 1 Tepatitlán win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2025 | Tepatitlán 2-1 Leones Negros UDG | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Tepatitlán 1-1 Leones Negros UDG | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Leones Negros UDG 1-0 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Leones Negros UDG 3-2 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Tepatitlán 0-0 Leones Negros UDG | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Leones Negros UDG 3-1 Tepatitlán | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Tepatitlán vs Leones Negros UDG on Apr 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Leones Negros UDG score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tepatitlán score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leones Negros UDG | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Tepatitlán | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leones Negros UDG sit 2nd in Liga de Expansión MX (30 points from 15 matches) and Tepatitlán sit 16th (7 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 30 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 44 | 7 |
A question about Leones Negros UDG vs Tepatitlán?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy