Leones Negros UDG vs Tepatitlán: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXClausura - Quarter-finalsKick-off on April 27, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
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What was the result of Leones Negros UDG vs Tepatitlán?
Leones Negros UDG won 2-1 on April 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 7′J. MarchandLeones Negros UDG
- 53′Luis Guadalupe Loroña AguilarTepatitlán
- 74′D. MuñozLeones Negros UDG
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leones Negros UDG have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Tepatitlán have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2025 | Tepatitlán(away) | 1-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Venados FC(home) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Celaya(away) | 3-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 6, 2025 | CDS Tampico Madero(home) | 1-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 29, 2025 | CA La Paz(away) | 1-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2025 | Leones Negros UDG(home) | 2-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Mineros de Zacatecas(away) | 2-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(home) | 4-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 30, 2025 | CDS Tampico Madero(away) | 1-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 22, 2025 | CA La Paz(home) | 4-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Leones Negros UDG win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Tepatitlán win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2025 | Tepatitlán 2-1 Leones Negros UDG | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Tepatitlán 1-1 Leones Negros UDG | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Leones Negros UDG 1-0 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Leones Negros UDG 3-2 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Tepatitlán 0-0 Leones Negros UDG | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Leones Negros UDG 3-1 Tepatitlán | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Tepatitlán vs Leones Negros UDG on Apr 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Leones Negros UDG score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tepatitlán score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leones Negros UDG | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Tepatitlán | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leones Negros UDG sit 5th in Liga de Expansión MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Tepatitlán sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros UDG | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Leones Negros UDG | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 15 | Tepatitlán | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy