Leonfelden vs Grödig: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NorthNorth - 24Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Grödig the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Leonfelden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leonfelden vs Grödig?
Grödig starts as the favourite with a 248-point Elo edge (1,777 vs 1,529).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Leonfelden have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Grödig have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | UFC Hallein(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Gurten(home) | 2-5 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ried II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - North |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wals-Grünau(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - North |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(home) | 0-5 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gurten(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ried II(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Wals-Grünau(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Seekirchen(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Jul 31, 2026 | TSV St. Johann(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Leonfelden score 1.6 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 5; Grödig score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonfelden | 1.6 | 2.4 | 1 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Grödig | 2.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leonfelden sit 10th in Regionalliga - North (5 points from 4 matches) and Grödig sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grödig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 | Leonfelden | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leonfelden vs Grödig?
- The Footlab model makes Grödig the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Leonfelden.
- Where and when is Leonfelden vs Grödig played?
- Leonfelden vs Grödig is played on April 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Regionalliga - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.