Ried II vs TSV St. Johann: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NorthNorth - 24Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Innviertel Arena, Ried Im Innkreis
The Footlab model makes Ried II the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for TSV St. Johann. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ried II vs TSV St. Johann?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Ried II (1,556) and TSV St. Johann (1,534).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ried II have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; TSV St. Johann have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | LASK Juniors(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Grödig(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 11, 2026 | SK Vorwarts Steyr(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Leonfelden(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bad Schallerbach(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wallern / Marienkirchen(away) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pinzgau Saalfelden(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kuchl(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | LASK Juniors(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Grödig(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Ried II score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; TSV St. Johann score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ried II | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| TSV St. Johann | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ried II sit 2nd in Regionalliga - North (10 points from 5 matches) and TSV St. Johann sit 9th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ried II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | TSV St. Johann | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ried II vs TSV St. Johann?
- The Footlab model makes Ried II the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for TSV St. Johann.
- Where and when is Ried II vs TSV St. Johann played?
- Ried II vs TSV St. Johann is played on April 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Innviertel Arena, in the Regionalliga - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.