Lerumo Lions vs University of Pretoria: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Olympia Park, Rustenburg, NW
The Footlab model makes Lerumo Lions the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for University of Pretoria. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lerumo Lions vs University of Pretoria?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Lerumo Lions (1,638) and University of Pretoria (1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lerumo Lions have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; University of Pretoria have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Venda FC(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Black Leopards(home) | 4-0 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Midlands Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 2, 2026 | University of Pretoria(away) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Highbury(home) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hope FC(away) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Midlands Wanderers(home) | 6-2 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Milford FC(away) | 0-2 | 1st Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Lerumo Lions(home) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Upington City(away) | 2-2 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Lerumo Lions win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 University of Pretoria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | University of Pretoria 0-1 Lerumo Lions | 1st Division |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Lerumo Lions 2-1 University of Pretoria | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: University of Pretoria vs Lerumo Lions on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lerumo Lions score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; University of Pretoria score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lerumo Lions | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| University of Pretoria | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lerumo Lions sit 8th in 1st Division (1 points from 1 matches) and University of Pretoria sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lerumo Lions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | University of Pretoria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lerumo Lions vs University of Pretoria?
- The Footlab model makes Lerumo Lions the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for University of Pretoria.
- Where and when is Lerumo Lions vs University of Pretoria played?
- Lerumo Lions vs University of Pretoria is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Olympia Park, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.