Where and when is Lewes vs Carshalton Athletic played?

Lewes vs Carshalton Athletic is played on September 15, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Dripping Pan, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lewes vs Carshalton Athletic: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Dripping Pan, Lewes, East Sussex

Lewes

Carshalton Athletic

The Footlab model makes Carshalton Athletic the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Lewes. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lewes vs Carshalton Athletic?

Carshalton Athletic starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,793 vs 1,691).

Lewes win25 %

Draw24 %

Carshalton Athletic win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lewes have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Carshalton Athletic have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lewes
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Whyteleafe(home)	3-1	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026	St Albans City(away)	2-0	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026	Whitehawk(away)	0-0	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026	Enfield Town(home)	0-4	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026	Chatham Town(away)	1-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian

Carshalton Athletic
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Stanway Rovers(away)	2-1	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026	Cray Wanderers(home)	2-1	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 10, 2026	Wingate & Finchley(home)	2-0	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026	Whyteleafe(away)	2-0	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026	Dover(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lewes win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Carshalton Athletic win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 11, 2025	Lewes 2-3 Carshalton Athletic	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2025	Carshalton Athletic 1-2 Lewes	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 18, 2025	Lewes 1-3 Carshalton Athletic	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Sep 7, 2024	Carshalton Athletic 0-0 Lewes	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jan 30, 2024	Lewes 1-3 Carshalton Athletic	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Oct 23, 2023	Carshalton Athletic 1-1 Lewes	Non League Premier - Isthmian

Last archived meeting: Lewes vs Carshalton Athletic on Nov 11, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Lewes score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Carshalton Athletic score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lewes	1.1	1.7	3	8/15	11/15
Carshalton Athletic	1.8	1.2	5	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lewes sit 9th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Carshalton Athletic sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Carshalton Athletic	4	4	0	0	8	2	12
9	Lewes	4	2	1	1	5	5	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lewes vs Carshalton Athletic?: The Footlab model makes Carshalton Athletic the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Lewes.
Where and when is Lewes vs Carshalton Athletic played?: Lewes vs Carshalton Athletic is played on September 15, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Dripping Pan, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.