Where and when is Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley played?

Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley is played on September 14, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Parkside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 14, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Parkside Stadium, Aveley, Essex

Aveley

Wingate & Finchley

The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Wingate & Finchley. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley?

Aveley starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,883 vs 1,725).

Aveley win64 %

Draw19 %

Wingate & Finchley win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aveley have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Wingate & Finchley have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aveley
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Three Bridges(away)	5-1	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026	Whitehawk(home)	3-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026	Maldon & Tiptree(away)	0-1	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026	Eastbourne Borough(home)	2-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026	Southend(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs

Wingate & Finchley
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Dulwich Hamlet(home)	1-0	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026	Whyteleafe(away)	2-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 10, 2026	Carshalton Athletic(away)	0-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026	Cray Wanderers(home)	1-1	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026	Aveley(home)	0-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Aveley win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Wingate & Finchley win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Wingate & Finchley 0-2 Aveley	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Nov 22, 2025	Aveley 2-0 Wingate & Finchley	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jan 14, 2023	Aveley 1-0 Wingate & Finchley	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 27, 2022	Wingate & Finchley 1-2 Aveley	Non League Premier - Isthmian

Last archived meeting: Wingate & Finchley vs Aveley on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wingate & Finchley score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Aveley	2.4	1.7	3	10/15	11/15
Wingate & Finchley	1.1	1.5	3	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aveley sit 6th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Wingate & Finchley sit 16th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Aveley	4	2	1	1	10	6	7
16	Wingate & Finchley	4	1	2	1	4	5	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley?: The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Wingate & Finchley.
Where and when is Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley played?: Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley is played on September 14, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Parkside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.