Lewes vs Wingate & Finchley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Dripping Pan, Lewes, East Sussex
The Footlab model makes Wingate & Finchley the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Lewes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lewes vs Wingate & Finchley?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Lewes (1,690) and Wingate & Finchley (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lewes have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Wingate & Finchley have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whyteleafe(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lewes win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Wingate & Finchley win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Lewes 1-1 Wingate & Finchley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Wingate & Finchley 3-0 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Lewes 0-0 Wingate & Finchley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Wingate & Finchley 2-2 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Wingate & Finchley 3-0 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Lewes 1-2 Wingate & Finchley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Lewes vs Wingate & Finchley on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lewes score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wingate & Finchley score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewes | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Wingate & Finchley | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lewes sit 9th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Wingate & Finchley sit 16th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lewes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 16 | Wingate & Finchley | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lewes vs Wingate & Finchley?
- The Footlab model makes Wingate & Finchley the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Lewes.
- Where and when is Lewes vs Wingate & Finchley played?
- Lewes vs Wingate & Finchley is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Dripping Pan, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026LeatherheadvsStanway Rovers
- Oct 31, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsRamsgate
- Oct 31, 2026WhitehawkvsSt Albans City
- Oct 31, 2026AveleyvsDartford
- Oct 31, 2026Brentwood TownvsCray Wanderers
- Oct 31, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsEnfield Town
- Oct 31, 2026WhyteleafevsDulwich Hamlet
- Oct 31, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsThree Bridges