Where and when is Lexington vs Colorado Springs played?

Lexington vs Colorado Springs is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Lexington SC Stadium, in the USL Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lexington vs Colorado Springs: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Lexington SC Stadium, Lexington, Kentucky

Lexington

Colorado Springs

The Footlab model makes Lexington the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Colorado Springs. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lexington vs Colorado Springs?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Lexington (1,749) and Colorado Springs (1,755).

Lexington win48 %

Draw26 %

Colorado Springs win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lexington have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Colorado Springs have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lexington
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Las Vegas Lights(home)	2-0	USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026	Sacramento Republic(away)	0-1	USL Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Phoenix Rising(home)	1-0	USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Monterey Bay(home)	3-2	USL Championship
Jul 26, 2026	FC Tulsa(away)	0-0	USL Championship

Colorado Springs
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	El Paso Locomotive(home)	0-1	USL Championship
Aug 20, 2026	Phoenix Rising(away)	1-3	USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026	Birmingham Legion(home)	3-2	USL Championship
Aug 13, 2026	Spokane Velocity(away)	1-1	USL League One Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Rhode Island(away)	0-2	USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Lexington win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Colorado Springs win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 4, 2026	Colorado Springs 1-1 Lexington	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2025	Colorado Springs 3-1 Lexington	USL Championship
Jun 20, 2025	Lexington 2-1 Colorado Springs	USL Championship

Last archived meeting: Colorado Springs vs Lexington on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lexington score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Colorado Springs score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lexington	1.7	1.2	6	8/15	7/15
Colorado Springs	1.4	1.1	3	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lexington sit 8th in USL Championship (15 points from 12 matches) and Colorado Springs sit 11th (13 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Lexington	20	9	4	7	30	23	31
8	Lexington	12	4	3	5	17	15	15
9	Colorado Springs	21	8	4	9	32	32	28
11	Colorado Springs	11	3	4	4	18	18	13

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lexington vs Colorado Springs?: The Footlab model makes Lexington the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Colorado Springs.
Where and when is Lexington vs Colorado Springs played?: Lexington vs Colorado Springs is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Lexington SC Stadium, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.