Licata vs Trapani 1905: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Saraceno, Ravanusa
The Footlab model makes Trapani 1905 the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Licata. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Licata vs Trapani 1905?
Trapani 1905 starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (1,757 vs 1,581).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Licata have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Trapani 1905 have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | CastrumFavara(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Relegation - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2025 | Nissa(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Pompei(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Sambiase(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Paternò(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Siracusa(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cosenza(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Salernitana(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 4, 2026 | SS Monopoli(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Foggia(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Licata win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Trapani 1905 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2024 | Trapani 1905 2-1 Licata | Serie D - Girone I |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Licata 1-2 Trapani 1905 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Trapani 1905 2-1 Licata | Serie D - Girone I |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Licata 2-2 Trapani 1905 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Trapani 1905 2-1 Licata | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Apr 14, 2022 | Trapani 1905 0-4 Licata | Serie D - Girone I |
Last archived meeting: Trapani 1905 vs Licata on Apr 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Licata score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Trapani 1905 score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Licata | 0.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Trapani 1905 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Licata vs Trapani 1905?
- The Footlab model makes Trapani 1905 the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Licata.
- Where and when is Licata vs Trapani 1905 played?
- Licata vs Trapani 1905 is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Saraceno, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.