Gela vs Reggina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Vincenzo Presti, Gela
The Footlab AI model makes Reggina the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Gela. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gela vs Reggina?
Reggina starts as the favourite with a 222-point Elo edge (1,951 vs 1,730).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gela vs Reggina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gela
Not enough data to predict the Gela lineup.
Reggina
Not enough data to predict the Reggina lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 12:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gela have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Reggina have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Modica(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Licata(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vibonese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Milazzo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AC Palermo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ragusa(home) | 5-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 28, 2026 | CastrumFavara(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nissa(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vibonese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Igea Virtus(away) | 2-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Gela wins, 1 draw, 1 Reggina win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Gela 0-0 Reggina | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Reggina 1-0 Gela | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Gela score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Reggina score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gela | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Reggina | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gela sit 15th in Serie D - Girone I (7 points from 10 matches) and Reggina sit 1st (23 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 23 |
| 15 | Gela | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Gela vs Reggina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gela vs Reggina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Reggina the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Gela.
- Where and when is Gela vs Reggina played?
- Gela vs Reggina is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vincenzo Presti, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.