Match

Lichtenberg vs BAK '07: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)HOWOGE-Arena Hans Zoschke, Berlin

LichtenbergBAK '07

The Footlab model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for BAK '07. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lichtenberg vs BAK '07?

Lichtenberg starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,894 vs 1,711).

Lichtenberg win63 %
Draw19 %
BAK '07 win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lichtenberg have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; BAK '07 have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lichtenberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Union Klosterfelde(away)1-2Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 8, 2026Neustrelitz(home)3-2Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Jul 18, 2026Dresden II(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 8, 2026Hertha BSC(home)0-9Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026Tennis Borussia(home)0-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
BAK '07
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Reinickendorfer Fuchse(home)2-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 8, 2026Optik Rathenow(away)0-0Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Jul 17, 2026BFC Dynamo(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026Neustrelitz(away)1-2Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
May 17, 2026Union Klosterfelde(home)3-0Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lichtenberg win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 BAK '07 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Lichtenberg 4-4 BAK '07Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Dec 13, 2025BAK '07 4-5 LichtenbergOberliga - Nordost-Nord
May 3, 2025BAK '07 3-2 LichtenbergOberliga - Nordost-Nord
Nov 2, 2024Lichtenberg 2-1 BAK '07Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Apr 1, 2023Lichtenberg 0-2 BAK '07Regionalliga - Nordost
Oct 16, 2022BAK '07 6-0 LichtenbergRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Lichtenberg vs BAK '07 on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lichtenberg score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; BAK '07 score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lichtenberg1.51.939/159/15
BAK '071.32.147/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lichtenberg sit 8th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (3 points from 2 matches) and BAK '07 sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4BAK '072110214
8Lichtenberg2101443

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lichtenberg vs BAK '07?
The Footlab model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for BAK '07.
Where and when is Lichtenberg vs BAK '07 played?
Lichtenberg vs BAK '07 is played on December 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at HOWOGE-Arena Hans Zoschke, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Lichtenberg and BAK '07

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