Lichtenberg vs BAK '07: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)HOWOGE-Arena Hans Zoschke, Berlin
The Footlab AI model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for BAK '07. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lichtenberg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lichtenberg vs BAK '07?
Lichtenberg starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,883 vs 1,765).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lichtenberg vs BAK '07
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lichtenberg
Not enough data to predict the Lichtenberg lineup.
BAK '07
4-3-3- 11F. Pilger
- 8M. Bremer
- 20Hamid Sen
- 37R. Ivanković
- 19U. Osawe
- 24O. Schindler
- 26Panzu Ernesto de Angelo
- 81S. Yamada
- 22H. Wurr
- 5R. Capoano
- 1L. Zwick
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lichtenberg have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; BAK '07 have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Anker Wismar(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Tennis Borussia(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Makkabi(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Lok Stendal(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Hertha Zehlendorf(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Union Klosterfelde(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Neustrelitz(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Eintracht Mahlsdorf(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mecklenburg Schwerin(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sparta Lichtenberg(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lichtenberg wins, 1 draw, 3 BAK '07 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Lichtenberg 4-4 BAK '07 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Dec 13, 2025 | BAK '07 4-5 Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 3, 2025 | BAK '07 3-2 Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Lichtenberg 2-1 BAK '07 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Lichtenberg 0-2 BAK '07 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 16, 2022 | BAK '07 6-0 Lichtenberg | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Lichtenberg vs BAK '07 on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lichtenberg score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; BAK '07 score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lichtenberg | 1.4 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| BAK '07 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lichtenberg sit 3rd in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (12 points from 6 matches) and BAK '07 sit 1st (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAK '07 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Lichtenberg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
A question about Lichtenberg vs BAK '07?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lichtenberg vs BAK '07?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for BAK '07.
- Where and when is Lichtenberg vs BAK '07 played?
- Lichtenberg vs BAK '07 is played on December 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at HOWOGE-Arena Hans Zoschke, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026Optik RathenowvsReinickendorfer Fuchse
- Dec 6, 2026Tennis BorussiavsUnion Klosterfelde
- Dec 6, 2026Anker WismarvsNeustrelitz
- Dec 6, 2026MakkabivsHertha Zehlendorf
- Dec 6, 2026Mecklenburg SchwerinvsFC Lok Stendal
- Dec 6, 2026Hansa Rostock IIvsEintracht Mahlsdorf
- Dec 6, 2026SiedenbollentinvsSparta Lichtenberg