Siedenbollentin vs Sparta Lichtenberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Fritz Reuter Sportpark, Siedenbollentin
The Footlab model makes Siedenbollentin the favourite at 49%, against 20% for a draw and 31% for Sparta Lichtenberg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Siedenbollentin vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Siedenbollentin (1,753) and Sparta Lichtenberg (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siedenbollentin have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Sparta Lichtenberg have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Neustrelitz(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Mahlsdorf(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 0-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Sparta Lichtenberg(home) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mecklenburg Schwerin(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Siedenbollentin(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Siedenbollentin win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sparta Lichtenberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Siedenbollentin 4-3 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Sparta Lichtenberg 3-4 Siedenbollentin | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
Last archived meeting: Siedenbollentin vs Sparta Lichtenberg on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Siedenbollentin score 1.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Lichtenberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siedenbollentin | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Sparta Lichtenberg | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Siedenbollentin sit 5th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (3 points from 2 matches) and Sparta Lichtenberg sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Siedenbollentin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Siedenbollentin vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
- The Footlab model makes Siedenbollentin the favourite at 49%, against 20% for a draw and 31% for Sparta Lichtenberg.
- Where and when is Siedenbollentin vs Sparta Lichtenberg played?
- Siedenbollentin vs Sparta Lichtenberg is played on December 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Fritz Reuter Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.