Match

Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 30Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Vogelgesang, Rathenow

Optik RathenowSparta Lichtenberg

The Footlab model makes Sparta Lichtenberg the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Optik Rathenow. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Optik Rathenow (1,646) and Sparta Lichtenberg (1,737).

Optik Rathenow win36 %
Draw22 %
Sparta Lichtenberg win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Optik Rathenow have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Sparta Lichtenberg have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Optik Rathenow
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Eintracht Mahlsdorf(away)0-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 8, 2026BAK '07(home)0-0Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Jul 18, 2026Ludwigsfelde(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 15, 2026BSC Süd 05(home)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026Hertha BSC II(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Sparta Lichtenberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Mecklenburg Schwerin(home)1-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 9, 2026Reinickendorfer Fuchse(away)1-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 2, 2026Krieschow(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026Siedenbollentin(away)3-4Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
May 17, 2026Neustrelitz(home)4-2Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Optik Rathenow win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Sparta Lichtenberg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 18, 2026Optik Rathenow 2-1 Sparta LichtenbergOberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 10, 2025Sparta Lichtenberg 4-0 Optik RathenowOberliga - Nordost-Nord
Mar 30, 2025Sparta Lichtenberg 4-0 Optik RathenowOberliga - Nordost-Nord
Sep 29, 2024Optik Rathenow 2-2 Sparta LichtenbergOberliga - Nordost-Nord
Feb 25, 2024Optik Rathenow 1-1 Sparta LichtenbergOberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 20, 2023Sparta Lichtenberg 1-0 Optik RathenowOberliga - Nordost-Nord

Last archived meeting: Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg on Mar 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Optik Rathenow score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Lichtenberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Optik Rathenow0.92.128/156/15
Sparta Lichtenberg2.32.1014/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Optik Rathenow sit 15th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (1 points from 2 matches) and Sparta Lichtenberg sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Sparta Lichtenberg2020222
15Optik Rathenow2011011

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
The Footlab model makes Sparta Lichtenberg the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Optik Rathenow.
Where and when is Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg played?
Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Vogelgesang, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Ready to know everything about football?