Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 30Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Vogelgesang, Rathenow
The Footlab AI model makes Optik Rathenow the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Sparta Lichtenberg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Optik Rathenow wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,517 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Optik Rathenow (1,693) and Sparta Lichtenberg (1,722).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Optik Rathenow
Not enough data to predict the Optik Rathenow lineup.
Sparta Lichtenberg
Not enough data to predict the Sparta Lichtenberg lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 05:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Optik Rathenow have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Sparta Lichtenberg have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Hansa Rostock II(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Anker Wismar(home) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tennis Borussia(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Makkabi(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 27, 2026 | FC Lok Stendal(away) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Tennis Borussia(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Makkabi(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Lok Stendal(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hertha Zehlendorf(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Union Klosterfelde(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Optik Rathenow win, 2 draws, 3 Sparta Lichtenberg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Optik Rathenow 2-1 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Sparta Lichtenberg 4-0 Optik Rathenow | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Sparta Lichtenberg 4-0 Optik Rathenow | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Optik Rathenow 2-2 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Optik Rathenow 1-1 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Sparta Lichtenberg 1-0 Optik Rathenow | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
Last archived meeting: Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Optik Rathenow score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Lichtenberg score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Optik Rathenow | 1.1 | 2.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Sparta Lichtenberg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Optik Rathenow sit 5th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (10 points from 6 matches) and Sparta Lichtenberg sit 14th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Optik Rathenow | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Optik Rathenow the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Sparta Lichtenberg.
- Where and when is Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg played?
- Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Vogelgesang, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027LichtenbergvsEintracht Mahlsdorf
- May 22, 2027Tennis BorussiavsHertha Zehlendorf
- May 22, 2027Anker WismarvsUnion Klosterfelde
- May 22, 2027MakkabivsFC Lok Stendal
- May 22, 2027Mecklenburg SchwerinvsReinickendorfer Fuchse
- May 22, 2027Hansa Rostock IIvsNeustrelitz
- May 22, 2027SiedenbollentinvsBAK '07