Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 30Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Vogelgesang, Rathenow
The Footlab model makes Sparta Lichtenberg the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Optik Rathenow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Optik Rathenow (1,646) and Sparta Lichtenberg (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Optik Rathenow have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Sparta Lichtenberg have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Mahlsdorf(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | BAK '07(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Ludwigsfelde(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | BSC Süd 05(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mecklenburg Schwerin(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Siedenbollentin(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Optik Rathenow win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Sparta Lichtenberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Optik Rathenow 2-1 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Sparta Lichtenberg 4-0 Optik Rathenow | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Sparta Lichtenberg 4-0 Optik Rathenow | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Optik Rathenow 2-2 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Optik Rathenow 1-1 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Sparta Lichtenberg 1-0 Optik Rathenow | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
Last archived meeting: Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Optik Rathenow score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Lichtenberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Optik Rathenow | 0.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Sparta Lichtenberg | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Optik Rathenow sit 15th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (1 points from 2 matches) and Sparta Lichtenberg sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | Optik Rathenow | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Lichtenberg the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Optik Rathenow.
- Where and when is Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg played?
- Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Vogelgesang, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027LichtenbergvsEintracht Mahlsdorf
- May 22, 2027Tennis BorussiavsHertha Zehlendorf
- May 22, 2027Anker WismarvsUnion Klosterfelde
- May 22, 2027MakkabivsFC Lok Stendal
- May 22, 2027Mecklenburg SchwerinvsReinickendorfer Fuchse
- May 22, 2027Hansa Rostock IIvsNeustrelitz
- May 22, 2027SiedenbollentinvsBAK '07