Lichtenberg vs Sparta Lichtenberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 28Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)HOWOGE-Arena Hans Zoschke, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 62%, against 18% for a draw and 20% for Sparta Lichtenberg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lichtenberg vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
Lichtenberg starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,894 vs 1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lichtenberg have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sparta Lichtenberg have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Union Klosterfelde(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dresden II(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Tennis Borussia(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mecklenburg Schwerin(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Siedenbollentin(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lichtenberg win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Sparta Lichtenberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Sparta Lichtenberg 3-3 Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Lichtenberg 0-2 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Sparta Lichtenberg 1-5 Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Lichtenberg 1-1 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Lichtenberg 3-0 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Sparta Lichtenberg 1-2 Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Lichtenberg vs Lichtenberg on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lichtenberg score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Lichtenberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lichtenberg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Sparta Lichtenberg | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lichtenberg sit 8th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (3 points from 2 matches) and Sparta Lichtenberg sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lichtenberg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lichtenberg vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
- The Footlab model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 62%, against 18% for a draw and 20% for Sparta Lichtenberg.
- Where and when is Lichtenberg vs Sparta Lichtenberg played?
- Lichtenberg vs Sparta Lichtenberg is played on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at HOWOGE-Arena Hans Zoschke, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.