Lichtenberg vs Sparta Lichtenberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 28Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)HOWOGE-Arena Hans Zoschke, Berlin
The Footlab AI model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Sparta Lichtenberg. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,517 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lichtenberg vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
Lichtenberg starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,867 vs 1,722).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lichtenberg vs Sparta Lichtenberg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lichtenberg
Not enough data to predict the Lichtenberg lineup.
Sparta Lichtenberg
Not enough data to predict the Sparta Lichtenberg lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 05:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lichtenberg have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Sparta Lichtenberg have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Siedenbollentin(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mecklenburg Schwerin(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Hansa Rostock II(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Anker Wismar(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Tennis Borussia(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Tennis Borussia(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Makkabi(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Lok Stendal(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hertha Zehlendorf(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Union Klosterfelde(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lichtenberg wins, 2 draws, 1 Sparta Lichtenberg win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Sparta Lichtenberg 3-3 Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Lichtenberg 0-2 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Sparta Lichtenberg 1-5 Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Lichtenberg 1-1 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Lichtenberg 3-0 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Sparta Lichtenberg 1-2 Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Lichtenberg vs Lichtenberg on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lichtenberg score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Lichtenberg score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lichtenberg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Sparta Lichtenberg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lichtenberg sit 3rd in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (12 points from 6 matches) and Sparta Lichtenberg sit 14th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lichtenberg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 14 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Lichtenberg vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lichtenberg vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Sparta Lichtenberg.
- Where and when is Lichtenberg vs Sparta Lichtenberg played?
- Lichtenberg vs Sparta Lichtenberg is played on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at HOWOGE-Arena Hans Zoschke, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.