Liège vs K. Lierse S.K.: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueMatchday 25Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Rocourt, Liège
The Footlab AI model makes Liège the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for K. Lierse S.K.. The most likely score is 1-1. If Liège wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,672 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Liège vs K. Lierse S.K.?
On Elo ratings, Liège has 1,864 points and K. Lierse S.K. 1,839.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Liège vs K. Lierse S.K.
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Liège
4-1-4-1- 26H. Ondo-Eyi
- 8K. Ruiz-Atil
- 6K. Shkurti
- 14V. Guillaume
- 11N. Dendani
- 13D. Mouchamps
- 5P. Ngawa
- 16E. N'jo
- 18S. Paulet
- 25J. D'Ostilio
- 12O. Ravet
K. Lierse S.K.
4-4-2- 10Alexandre Stanic
- 19Kyan Himpe
- 6N. Mayoka-Tika
- 80M. Mitrović
- 11S. El Touile
- 79P. Dwomoh
- 2P. Perdichizzi
- 4S. Vanderhallen
- 21Elton Yeboah
- 58V. De Vos
- 1J. De Smet
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 04:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liège have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; K. Lierse S.K. have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Seraing United(away) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 2-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(away) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Beerschot VA(away) | 1-5 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Wellen(home) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 2-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Nov 4, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(away) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | KAA Gent II(away) | 0-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Francs Borains(home) | 3-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rochefort(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Liège wins, 1 draw, 2 K. Lierse S.K. wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K. 0-0 Liège | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Liège 2-1 K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | K. Lierse S.K. 1-2 Liège | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Liège 2-1 K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League |
| Dec 6, 2024 | K. Lierse S.K. 2-1 Liège | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 16, 2024 | K. Lierse S.K. 3-2 Liège | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: K. Lierse S.K. vs Liège on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Liège score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; K. Lierse S.K. score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liège | 2.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| K. Lierse S.K. | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Liège sit 15th in Challenger Pro League (5 points from 9 matches) and K. Lierse S.K. sit 13th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | K. Lierse S.K. | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 8 |
| 15 | Liège | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 5 |
A question about Liège vs K. Lierse S.K.?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Liège vs K. Lierse S.K.?
- The Footlab AI model makes Liège the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for K. Lierse S.K..
- Where and when is Liège vs K. Lierse S.K. played?
- Liège vs K. Lierse S.K. is played on March 20, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Rocourt, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.