Liepājas Metalurgs II vs Gulbene: result 1-4 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on May 5, 2013 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Olimpija stadions, Liepāja
Full time
What was the result of Liepājas Metalurgs II vs Gulbene?
Gulbene won 1-4 on May 5, 2013.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liepājas Metalurgs II have 14 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Gulbene have 3, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2013 | Jelgava II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 21, 2013 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 13, 2013 | SFK United(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 6, 2013 | Auda(home) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Nov 3, 2012 | Auda(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | Skonto II(home) | 5-2 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 20, 2013 | Metta II / Salaspils(away) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 14, 2013 | Ventspils II(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 6, 2013 | Tukums(away) | 4-0 | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Liepājas Metalurgs II score 3.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gulbene score 3.3 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liepājas Metalurgs II | 3.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Gulbene | 3.3 | 0.8 | 2 | 2/4 | 3/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy