BFC Daugavpils vs Jēkabpils: result 4-1 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on May 5, 2013 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils
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What was the result of BFC Daugavpils vs Jēkabpils?
BFC Daugavpils won 4-1 on May 5, 2013.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFC Daugavpils have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Jēkabpils have 1, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | Valmiera / BSS(home) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 20, 2013 | Rīgas FS(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 1625 Liepāja(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 7, 2013 | FK Jūrmala II(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Nov 11, 2012 | Spartaks II(away) | 4-0 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2013 | Tukums(away) | 1-4 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 20, 2013 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 1-6 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 13, 2013 | Rīgas FS(away) | 0-0 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1625 Liepāja(away) | 3-2 | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
BFC Daugavpils score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Jēkabpils score 1.3 and concede 3.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFC Daugavpils | 2.3 | 0.7 | 10 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Jēkabpils | 1.3 | 3.0 | 1 | 3/4 | 3/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy