Lille vs Estac Troyes: result 5-1 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 19Kick-off on January 15, 2023 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Full time
What was the result of Lille vs Estac Troyes?
Lille won 5-1 on January 15, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 16′M. BayoLille
- 45′J. DavidLille
- 47′M. BayoLille
- 65′Mama BaldéEstac Troyes
- 75′A. VirginiusLille
- 88′J. DavidLille
Official lineup for Lille vs Estac Troyes
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Lille
4-4-2- 27M. Bayo
- 9J. David
- 20A. Gomes
- 21B. André
- 35C. Baleba
- 11A. Ounas
- 22T. Weah
- 3Tiago Djaló
- 15L. Yoro
- 18B. Diakité
- 30L. Chevalier
Estac Troyes
4-2-3-1- 7Mama Baldé
- 39Y. Larouci
- 11Rony Lopes
- 19A. Bruus
- 24X. Chavalerin
- 10F. Tardieu
- 12Abdu Conté
- 4E. Palmer-Brown
- 17Y. Salmier
- 18T. Baldé
- 1M. Lis
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lille have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Estac Troyes have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2023 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Estac Troyes(home) | 2-0 | Coupe de France |
| Jan 2, 2023 | Reims(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 28, 2022 | Clermont Foot(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 21, 2022 | Napoli(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2023 | Marseille(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Lille(away) | 0-2 | Coupe de France |
| Jan 2, 2023 | Strasbourg(away) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 28, 2022 | Nantes(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 21, 2022 | Paris FC(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lille wins, 1 draw, 3 Estac Troyes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | Lille 2-0 Estac Troyes | Coupe de France |
| May 1, 2022 | Estac Troyes 3-0 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Lille 2-1 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 20, 2018 | Estac Troyes 1-0 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 14, 2017 | Lille 2-2 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 23, 2016 | Lille 1-3 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lille score 1.8 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Estac Troyes score 1.2 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 1.8 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Estac Troyes | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lille sit 2nd in Ligue 1 (13 points from 6 matches) and Estac Troyes sit 17th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Lille vs Estac Troyes?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy