Lille vs Marseille: result 3-1 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 28Kick-off on April 5, 2024 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
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What was the result of Lille vs Marseille?
Lille won 3-1 on April 5, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 54′J. DavidLille (pen.)
- 71′R. CabellaLille
- 81′P. AubameyangMarseille
- 84′G. GudmundssonLille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lille have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Marseille have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2024 | Lens(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 14, 2024 | Sturm Graz(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Rennes(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 7, 2024 | Sturm Graz(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2024 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Rennes(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 14, 2024 | Villarreal(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Nantes(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 7, 2024 | Villarreal(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lille win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Marseille win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2023 | Marseille 0-0 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2023 | Lille 2-1 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Marseille 2-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 16, 2022 | Marseille 1-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Lille 2-0 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 3, 2021 | Lille 2-0 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lille score 2.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Marseille score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 2.4 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Marseille | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lille sit 3rd in Ligue 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Marseille sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Lille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy