Lille vs Marseille: result 3-2 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 4Kick-off on August 28, 2011 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
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What was the result of Lille vs Marseille?
Lille won 3-2 on August 28, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 15′Moussa SowLille
- 57′M. ValbuenaMarseille
- 62′M. ValbuenaMarseille
- 67′Aurélien Bayard Chedjou FongangLille
- 75′Moussa SowLille (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lille have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Marseille have 6, 8 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2011 | Caen(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 14, 2011 | Montpellier(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 6, 2011 | Nancy(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 29, 2011 | Rennes(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 21, 2011 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2011 | Saint Etienne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 14, 2011 | Auxerre(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 6, 2011 | Sochaux(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 29, 2011 | Caen(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 21, 2011 | Valenciennes(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lille win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Marseille win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2011 | Marseille 1-2 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2010 | Lille 1-3 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lille score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Marseille score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 1.7 | 0.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Marseille | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lille sit 3rd in Ligue 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Marseille sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Lille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy