Lille vs Auxerre: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 13Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
The Footlab AI model makes Lille the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Auxerre. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lille vs Auxerre?
Lille starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (2,121 vs 1,958).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lille vs Auxerre
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lille
4-2-3-1- 18A. Ueda
- 6N. Bentaleb
- 17N. Mukau
- 7D. Bakwa
- 10H. Haraldsson
- 21B. André
- 4Alexsandro Ribeiro
- 15R. Perraud
- 22Tiago Santos
- 3N. Ngoy
- 1B. Özer
Auxerre
3-4-2-1- 9C. Archer
- 10D. Namaso
- 27L. Sy
- 5K. Danois
- 22F. Oppegård
- 8N. Ahamada
- 21R. Faivre
- 92C. Akpa
- 46A. Piedfort
- 4A. Tuanzebe
- 23M. Diop
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lille have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Auxerre have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Le Havre(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Nice(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Clermont Foot(home) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nice(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lille wins, 2 draws, 1 Auxerre win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Lille 0-2 Auxerre | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Auxerre 3-4 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Lille 3-1 Auxerre | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Auxerre 0-0 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Auxerre 1-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 7, 2022 | Lille 4-1 Auxerre | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lille score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Auxerre score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Auxerre | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lille sit 2nd in Ligue 1 (13 points from 6 matches) and Auxerre sit 16th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 6 |
A question about Lille vs Auxerre?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lille vs Auxerre?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lille the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Auxerre.
- Where and when is Lille vs Auxerre played?
- Lille vs Auxerre is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.