Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Europa Point: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Lincoln Red Imps FC the favourite at 86%, against 9% for a draw and 4% for Europa Point. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Europa Point?
Lincoln Red Imps FC is a heavy favourite: 1,737 Elo points against 1,079 — a 659-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lincoln Red Imps FC have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Europa Point have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Larne(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(home) | 0-7 | Premier Division |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Magpies(home) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(away) | 0-4 | Rock Cup |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Mons Calpe(away) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Manchester 62(home) | 1-0 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Lincoln Red Imps FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Europa Point win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Europa Point 1-2 Lincoln Red Imps FC | Premier Division |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Lincoln Red Imps FC 7-0 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Lincoln Red Imps FC 2-0 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Europa Point 0-5 Lincoln Red Imps FC | Premier Division |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Lincoln Red Imps FC 4-0 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Lincoln Red Imps FC 1-0 Europa Point | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Europa Point vs Lincoln Red Imps FC on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lincoln Red Imps FC score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Europa Point score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Red Imps FC | 1.6 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Europa Point | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lincoln Red Imps FC sit 1st in Premier Division (72 points from 27 matches) and Europa Point sit 8th (22 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 27 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 89 | 17 | 72 |
| 8 | Europa Point | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 31 | 61 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Europa Point?
- The Footlab model makes Lincoln Red Imps FC the favourite at 86%, against 9% for a draw and 4% for Europa Point.
- Where and when is Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Europa Point played?
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Europa Point is played on September 4, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.