Linfield vs Carrick Rangers: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 29Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Windsor Park, Belfast
The Footlab AI model makes Linfield the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Carrick Rangers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Linfield wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?
Linfield starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,742 vs 1,598).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Linfield vs Carrick Rangers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Linfield
4-3-3- 8K. McClean
- 30Kobei Moore
- 16D. Wells
- 10A. Frizzell
- 26I. Baird
- 14K. Nelson
- 15B. Hall
- 27E. McGee
- 34Dane Neil McCullough
- 33D. Leahy
- 1C. Johns
Carrick Rangers
4-3-3- 9D. Gibson
- 10A. Lecky
- 22P. Heatley
- 5J. Forsythe
- 14Aidan Daniel Steele
- 6J. Callacher
- 15B. Buchanan-Rolleston
- 3K. Nelson
- 30C. Hawthorne
- 12L. McCullough
- 1N. Gartside
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 09:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Linfield have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Carrick Rangers have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 2-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Coleraine FC(away) | 3-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Crusaders FC(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Portadown(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Linfield(home) | 2-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(away) | 4-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crusaders FC(home) | 4-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Glentoran(away) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Larne(home) | 2-5 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Linfield wins, 2 draws, 1 Carrick Rangers win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Carrick Rangers 2-2 Linfield | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Linfield 1-0 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Carrick Rangers 2-0 Linfield | Premiership |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Carrick Rangers 0-0 Linfield | Premiership |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Linfield 3-1 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Linfield 3-0 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Carrick Rangers vs Linfield on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Linfield score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Carrick Rangers score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linfield | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Carrick Rangers | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Linfield sit 2nd in Premiership (26 points from 11 matches) and Carrick Rangers sit 5th (17 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Linfield | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 26 |
| 5 | Carrick Rangers | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 17 |
A question about Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Linfield the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Carrick Rangers.
- Where and when is Linfield vs Carrick Rangers played?
- Linfield vs Carrick Rangers is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Windsor Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.