Carrick Rangers vs Linfield: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Loughview Leisure Arena, Carrickfergus
The Footlab model makes Linfield the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Carrick Rangers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carrick Rangers vs Linfield?
Linfield starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,645 vs 1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carrick Rangers have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Linfield have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Portadown(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ballyclare Comrades(away) | 8-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Glentoran(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ballymena United(home) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dollingstown(away) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Carrick Rangers win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Linfield win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Carrick Rangers 2-0 Linfield | Premiership |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Carrick Rangers 0-0 Linfield | Premiership |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Linfield 3-1 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Linfield 3-0 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Carrick Rangers 1-3 Linfield | Premiership |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Linfield 1-0 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Carrick Rangers vs Linfield on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carrick Rangers score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Linfield score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrick Rangers | 2.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Linfield | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carrick Rangers sit 6th in Premiership (6 points from 3 matches) and Linfield sit 7th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Linfield | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carrick Rangers vs Linfield?
- The Footlab model makes Linfield the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Carrick Rangers.
- Where and when is Carrick Rangers vs Linfield played?
- Carrick Rangers vs Linfield is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Loughview Leisure Arena, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.