Linfield vs Qarabag: result 3-2 and analysis
UEFA Europa LeaguePlay-offsKick-off on August 22, 2019 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Windsor Park, Belfast
Full time
What was the result of Linfield vs Qarabag?
Linfield won 3-2 on August 22, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 15′F. RherrasQarabag
- 40′M. StaffordLinfield
- 45′S. LaveryLinfield
- 75′S. LaveryLinfield
- 90′M. GueyeQarabag (pen.)
Official lineup for Linfield vs Qarabag
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Linfield
4-2-3-1- 14S. Lavery
- 31N. Quinn
- 8Bastien Charles Patrick Héry
- 9J. Cooper
- 27A. Mitchell
- 22J. Mulgrew
- 16M. Clarke
- 6J. Callacher
- 2M. Stafford
- 47C. Casement
- 1R. Ferguson
Qarabag
4-3-3- 9Jaime Romero
- 11M. Emreli
- 17A. Zoubir
- 8Miguel Marcos Madera
- 2Q. Qarayev
- 10Dani Quintana
- 30A. Hüseynov
- 14Rəşad Fərhad oğlu Sadıqov
- 5M. Medvedev
- 23F. Rherras
- 13Vagner
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Linfield have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Qarabag have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2019 | Coleraine FC(home) | 2-4 | Premiership |
| Aug 13, 2019 | Sutjeska(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 10, 2019 | Institute(home) | 3-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 6, 2019 | Sutjeska(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 1, 2019 | HB Torshavn(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2019 | Şamaxı FK(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 13, 2019 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 6, 2019 | Apoel Nicosia(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 31, 2019 | Dundalk(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 24, 2019 | Dundalk(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Linfield score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 1.9 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linfield | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Qarabag | 1.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Linfield vs Qarabag?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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