Litex vs Nesebar: result 1-0 and analysis
Second LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 5, 2017 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Lovech
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What was the result of Litex vs Nesebar?
Litex won 1-0 on November 5, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Litex have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Nesebar have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2017 | Chernomorets Balchik(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Oct 24, 2017 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Oct 20, 2017 | Neftochimic Burgas(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Oct 14, 2017 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 0-4 | Second League |
| Sep 30, 2017 | Maritsa Plovdiv(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2017 | Pomorie(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Oct 20, 2017 | Strumska Slava(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Oct 14, 2017 | Chernomorets Balchik(away) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Sep 30, 2017 | Neftochimic Burgas(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Sep 24, 2017 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 1-4 | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Litex score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nesebar score 1.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Litex | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Nesebar | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nesebar | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy